One year ago yesterday on Huffingtonpost.com…
The HuffPost presidential forecast model gives Democrat Hillary Clinton a 98.2 percent chance of winning the presidency. Republican Donald Trump has essentially no path to an Electoral College victory.
Clinton’s win will be substantial, but not overwhelming. The model projects that she’ll garner 323 electoral votes to Trump’s 215.
For all of 2016’s craziness, that projection actually follows a fairly traditional electoral map. Trump should keep Arizona and Georgia, even though Clinton is likely to make it a closer-than-usual race. Iowa also seems firmly in Trump’s column. All three states are more than 85 percent likely to remain red.
Florida, Nevada and North Carolina have leaned toward Clinton in the polling averages.
The forecast in recent weeks, along with the strength of early voting numbers, makes it seem very likely that these will stay with her. All three states are more than 80-percent likely to swing Democratic. New Hampshire polls have wavered recently, but the
HuffPost model still predicts those four electoral votes will go to Clinton with more than 90 percent certainty. And Clinton should fairly easily hold onto Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
That leaves Ohio as the last critical state. It’s the closest in the race, according to the HuffPost forecast model. Trump leads by just 1 point, and the polling trend has moved toward the GOP in the last few weeks. The HuffPost model gives Trump about a 70 percent chance of winning the state. In the event that Clinton’s ground game stimulates turnout and pulls Ohio in her direction ― which is not out of the question ― she’ll get 341 electoral votes.
Maine’s 2nd Congressional District and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District could defy their states’ trends, but there’s no substantial polling information to indicate whether that will happen. In the absence of data, I’m choosing not to split them in projections.
Third-party candidates aren’t likely to be a factor. Independent Evan McMullin will probably take a sizable share of the vote in Utah, but not enough to beat Trump. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson has been polling at 5 percent or less on average. And Green Party nominee Jill Stein isn’t likely to pull much of the vote in the states where she’s on the ballot.
Huff ‘n Puff was not the only Liberal Website to get the 2016 Presidential Election wrong.
Liberal Darling Nate Silver predicted it wrong as well on his FiveThirtyEight.com Website.
He called for it to shake down as follows:
Hillary Clinton – 71.4%
Donald J. Trump – 28.6 %
In an article titled, “There Really Was A Liberal Media Bubble, which Silver wrote as a part of as series titled “The Real Story of 2016”, in an attempt to explain why he and the rest of the Liberal Political Pundits got the Presidential Election so wrong, he wrote…
All things considered, then, the conditions of political journalism are poor for crowd wisdom and ripe for groupthink.
Well…duuuhhh.
Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA, a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball Prospectus from 2003 to 2009.
Which explains why his current poll of President Donald J. Trump’s popularity reads…
56.8% Disapprove
37.6% Approve
Meanwhile…
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 43% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Fifty-six percent (56%) disapprove.
Donald J. Trump was elected the 45th President of the United States of America one year ago today with 46% of the vote.
Not exactly the precipitous drop in popularity in his first year in office that the same Liberal Political Pundits who never saw his election coming in the first place claim that there is, huh?
But, I digress…
One year into the Presidency of Donald J. Trump, the gaping maw that is America’s Political Division remains as cavernous as ever.
While the News Organizations and Political Pundits who inhabit the never-ending metropolitan areas of the East and Left Coasts and the “Beltway” insist, as “some old Lib” named Phil Donahue did last July, that,
This is the darkest political moment in American History.
Those of us who live in America’s Heartland, between the coasts, could not be happier with the choice we made on November 8th, 2016 as Fox News Commentator and Radio Host Todd Starnes, now a New Yorker, witnessed.
Liberals who seem to spend their entire day on Social Media posting fake news stories, pulling “facts” out of their hindquarters, and posting anything and everything that they can, in order to attempt to remove President Trump from office, are probably in diabetic shock from consuming too many Cheetos and donuts in their Mom’s basement, as they attempt to comprehend what I am writing.
Here’s the deal, Snowflakes…
None of these fake news stories, Democrat-heavy polls, and photoshopped pictures and stupid Occupy Democrat Memes on Facebook are making any difference to average Americans.
The Democrats, as a result of their own regional bias toward the major metropolitan areas on the East and Left Coasts, which has been obvious to average Americans for the last several decades, effectively divorced themselves from the people whom they claimed in every previous election cycle to “love”…Average Working Class Americans.
Yet still, they expect us to believe the Fake News which they are desperately trying to distribute in a vain attempt get Trump out of office, and which you Liberal Trolls are posting on Social Media ad nauseam, so that they and you, in your shared madness can get a do-over and Hillary Clinton will somehow miraculously become the President.
Americans do not care what the Main Stream Media…or you…think.
They are the Propaganda Arm and you are their unpaid (usually) stable boys and girls.
They produce it and you shovel it.
To put it mildly and in Marital Terms, which even you can understand, Average Working Class Americans and the Democratic Party are no longer “evenly yoked”.
The Democrats became the party of the “Upper Crust” and Special Interest Groups, who look down their noses at Americans who live here in “Flyover Country”.
The Democrats assumed, after reading their own press clippings, that all Americans wanted and somehow, still want, the Progressive/Marxist Political Ideology and style of governance which Barack Hussein Obama practiced during his time as President.
Well, we all know what assuming does, don’t we, Snowflakes?
The American People overthrew the “Tyranny of the Minority”, which we had suffered under for the last 8 years on November 8th.
The Oxford Dictionaries define the word “mandate” as
the authority to carry out a policy or course of action, regarded as given by the electorate to a candidate or party that is victorious in an election.
Guess what, Democratic Elite, George Soros, Barack Hussein Obama, Main Stream Media, Facebook and Internet Trolls, Hollywood Celebrities, and the rest of you still throwing a National Temper Tantrum?
Trump won! Therefore, he does have a mandate.
And, average Americans, the “Deplorables” between the coasts whom the Democrats continue to insult and ridicule on a daily basis, still support and appreciate president Donald J. Trump.
Because it is evident by the lowest Unemployment Rate since 2000 that President Donald J. Trump is working hard to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN.
Kleenex, Libs?
Until He Comes,
KJ
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